Matthew McClintock Matthew McClintock

On Holding 2Q25 Immediate Call Postmortem

Hard to poke holes in a consumer company that raises guidance like this against a challenged macro-environment backdrop. Key point they made on call was this isn’t just flowthrough but rather they now have increased 2H25 expectations.

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Matthew McClintock Matthew McClintock

Arhaus 2Q25 Immediate Call Postmortem

Really feels like a lot of the upside this quarter was a one-off due to Dallas opening earlier than expected. They called out the 20 pt gap between 1Q written and 1Q delivered as an example of what that looked like.

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Matthew McClintock Matthew McClintock

VF Corp 1Q26 Immediate Call Postmortem

Main focus of this call was to talk about the return to growth. Three things: 1) not happy with Vans growth and focused on it, 2) goal is to get The North Face to double digit growth, 3) sustain momentum in Timberland.

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Matthew McClintock Matthew McClintock

Tractor Supply (TSCO) 2Q25 Immediate Call Postmortem

At a minimum we are at least back to beating earnings again, however small. It always felt like the comp guide was sandbagged a bit given their long stated “we are a story of halves” narrative and the meaningful weakness in 1Q.

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Matthew McClintock Matthew McClintock

Deckers Brands 1Q26 Immediate Call Postmortem

Oh snap. We have a company that trades at 17x FY1 earnings that is growing sales at 17% and continues to blow out EPS estimates by 20%+ every single quarter, has an EBIT margin north of 20%, and is buying back a ton of stock (with a ton of cash on balance sheet).

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